What occurs when people's belief about whether an outcome will occur changes depending on how alternative outcomes are distributed, even though the summed probability of the alternative outcomes is held constant?
A) mental set
B) belief perseverance
C) the conjunction fallacy
D) alternative outcomes effect

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The phenomenon described in the question is known as the alternative outcomes effect. This refers to the tendency for people's beliefs about the likelihood of an event to be influenced by the way in which alternative outcomes are presented or distributed, even when the overall probability of all outcomes remains constant. This effect has been documented in various domains, including decision-making, risk perception, and social judgment.

What Occurs When People's Belief About Whether an Outcome Will