12-100.Suppose that you are watching television just after a Congressional election,and your favorite candidate has won-although the election was close.You say to a friend,"Well,I was really quite confident that he would win." This might be an example of

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The statement "I was really quite confident that he would win" suggests that the person experienced the hindsight bias, which is the tendency to believe, after an outcome is known, that one would have predicted or expected the outcome. The person is overestimating their ability to predict the outcome of the election, despite it being a close one. The other options do not fit the scenario described.

12-100Suppose That You Are Watching Television Just After a Congressional