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Statistics
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Seeing Through Statistics
Quiz 4: How to Get a Good Sample
Path 4
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Question 21
Short Answer
With a (an) __________ sample, every conceivable group of people of the required size has the same chance of being the selected sample.
Question 22
Multiple Choice
Suppose a random sample of people from your city found that 20% of the respondents own a cell phone, and the margin of error was 3%.In other words, you are confident that between 17% and 23% of all the people in your city own cell phones, based on this study.Suppose also that 1,000,000 people live in your city.Does this mean then that 200,000 people most likely own cell phones, plus or minus 30,000; or in other words, that between 170,000 and 230,000 people most likely own cell phones? (This was found by taking the results in percentage form and multiplying by the population size.)
Question 23
Essay
What two things do you need in order to produce a simple random sample from the population?
Question 24
Essay
Suppose you sampled 2,500 people for a marketing survey, but your boss thinks that you should have sampled more, say 4,000 people, because he says the results would have been much more accurate, even under the tight budget and time constraints on the company.Using statistics, how would you convince your boss to agree with you?
Question 25
Short Answer
As the number of units in the sample increases, the margin of error __________.
Question 26
Multiple Choice
For Questions use the following narrative Narrative: Exit poll Suppose a recent election exit pollster reports that "Forty-eight percent of the voters polled said they voted for Candidate A.The margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points." Assume the exit poll was designed and conducted correctly. -{Exit poll narrative} About how many people were sampled?
Question 27
Short Answer
With a (an) __________ sample, everyone in the population must have a specified chance of making it into the sample.
Question 28
Essay
Suppose you want to find out what percentage of students at your university would pay extra fees for the use of a new recreation center, and you want a simple random sample of 100 students.Suppose you go to the current recreation center and ask every 10th student who comes in the door to participate in your survey, until you have 100 people.Does this method of sampling give you a simple random sample? Explain your answer.
Question 29
Essay
Which is better, a survey of 50,000 people who participated on an Internet web site, or a survey of 5,000 people where a computer was used to randomly choose the survey participants?
Question 30
Essay
With a random sample of 2,500 people, we usually get an estimate that is accurate to within what percent of the truth (using the general rule)?
Question 31
Multiple Choice
What is the margin of error?
Question 32
Multiple Choice
For Questions use the following narrative Narrative: Exit poll Suppose a recent election exit pollster reports that "Forty-eight percent of the voters polled said they voted for Candidate A.The margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points." Assume the exit poll was designed and conducted correctly. -{Exit poll narrative} What can be concluded about Candidate A?
Question 33
Multiple Choice
Assume you have a sampling frame of your entire population of interest, which is comprised of 100 people's names.Which of the following sources could not be used to select a truly simple random sample of 10 people from this population?
Question 34
Essay
Suppose a recent election exit pollster reports that "Forty-eight percent of the voters polled said they voted for Candidate A.The margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points." Assume the exit poll was designed and conducted correctly.What percentage of all voters do you expect to vote for Candidate A? Give the most complete answer you can.
Question 35
Essay
Suppose you have a herd of 100 cows and you need to select a simple random sample of 5 cows to test for a certain disease.You call the cows in for the evening, and pick the 5 that arrive first.Is this a simple random sample? Why or why not?