For Questions use the following narrative
Narrative: Exit poll
Suppose a recent election exit pollster reports that "Forty-eight percent of the voters polled said they voted for Candidate A.The margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points." Assume the exit poll was designed and conducted correctly.
-{Exit poll narrative} What can be concluded about Candidate A?
A)48% of all voters will vote for Candidate A.
B)We are confident that between 45.5% and 50.5% of all voters will vote for Candidate A.This means he/she will win the election, because 50.5% is more than half of the votes.
C)We are confident that between 45.5% and 50.5% of the voters will vote for Candidate A.The election is 'too close to call' at this point.It could go either way.
D)None of the above

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The correct conclusion is that we can be confident that between 45.5% and 50.5% of the voters voted for Candidate A, based on the reported 48% with a margin of error of ±2.5 percentage points. This range does not guarantee a win, as it does not definitively exceed 50%, making the election outcome uncertain.

For Questions Use the Following Narrative