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Quiz 4: Randomness and Probability
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Question 101
Essay
A cell phone company offers a simple extended warranty plan. If your phone is damaged, they will repair it for up to $50. If you lose or destroy your phone, they will give you a $200 voucher towards a new phone. The company believes that 5% of customers will need the replacement voucher and 10% will request a repair. -What are the mean and standard deviation for the profit on a 1000 plans?
Question 102
Essay
Cool Off A survey of southern California houses in a given town shows that 70% of the homes have an air conditioning system and 90% of home have at least one ceiling fan. 65% of all homes surveyed had both features. a. What is the probability that a randomly selected home neither feature? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected home has a ceiling fan, given that it already has an air conditioning system? c. Do these two house features appear to be independent? Justify your answer.
Question 103
Essay
Credit card sales The National Association of Retailers reports that 62% of all purchases are now made by credit card; you think this is true at your store as well. On a typical day you make 20 sales. a. Explain why your sales can be considered Bernoulli trials. b. What is the probability that your fourth customer is the first one who uses a credit card? c. Let X represent the number of customers who use a credit card on a typical day. What is the probability model for X? Specify the model (name and parameters), and tell the mean and standard deviation. d. What is the probability that on a typical day at least half of your customers use a credit card?
Question 104
Essay
The owner of a pet store is trying to decide whether to discontinue selling specialty clothes for pets. She suspects that only 4% of the customers buy specialty clothes for their pets and thinks that she might be able to replace the clothes with more interesting and profitable items on the shelves. Before making a final decision she decides to keep track of the total number of customers for a day, and whether they purchase specialty clothes for their pet. -Assuming the pet store owner is correct in thinking that only 4% of her customers purchase specialty clothes for their pets, how many customers should she expect before someone buys a garment for their pet?
Question 105
Essay
Still strange dice ⢠The six faces of Die A show a 1 and five 3's. ⢠Die B has four 2's and two 6's. Suppose you use these two dice in a competition against another player. You will roll one of the dice and your opponent will roll the other one. The winner is the person who rolls the higher number. You get first choice of dice and want to win. Would you pick Die A or Die B? Explain why.
Question 106
Essay
The American Red Cross says that about 11% of the U.S. population has Type B blood. A blood drive is being held at your school. -What is the probability that the tenth blood donor is the first donor with Type B blood?
Question 107
Essay
A young boy is fishing off the end of a dock. He estimates that for one out of every 15 times he casts his line, he gets at least a nibble from a curious fish. He is going to cast his line 50 times before he switches to toad hunting. -What is the probability that the fisherman will get 5 nibbles on his line.
Question 108
Essay
A small business just leased a new computer and color laser printer for three years. The service contract for the computer offers unlimited repairs for a fee of $100 a year plus a $25 service charge for each repair needed. The company's research suggested that during a given year 86% of these computers needed no repairs, 9% needed to be repaired once, 4% twice, 1% three times, and none required more than three repairs. -How many times should the company expect to have to get this computer repaired over the three-year term of the lease?
Question 109
Essay
A survey of an introductory statistics class in Autumn 2003 asked students whether or not they ate breakfast the morning of the survey. Results are as follows:
a. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is female? b. What is the probability that a randomly selected student ate breakfast? c. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is a female who ate breakfast? d. What is the probability that a randomly selected student is female, given that the student ate breakfast? e. What is the probability that a randomly selected student ate breakfast, given that the student is female? f. Does it appear that whether or not a student ate breakfast is independent of the student's sex? Explain.
Question 110
Essay
A small business just leased a new computer and color laser printer for three years. The service contract for the computer offers unlimited repairs for a fee of $100 a year plus a $25 service charge for each repair needed. The company's research suggested that during a given year 86% of these computers needed no repairs, 9% needed to be repaired once, 4% twice, 1% three times, and none required more than three repairs. -Find the standard deviation of the number of repairs each year.
Question 111
Essay
The American Red Cross says that about 11% of the U.S. population has Type B blood. A blood drive is being held at your school. -The blood drive has a total of 150 donors. Assuming this is a typical number of donors for a school blood drive, what would be the mean and standard deviation of the number of donors who have Type B blood?
Question 112
Essay
A young boy is fishing off the end of a dock. He estimates that for one out of every 15 times he casts his line, he gets at least a nibble from a curious fish. He is going to cast his line 50 times before he switches to toad hunting. -Suppose that our fearless fisherman goes out early one morning and casts a total of 250 times. What are the mean and standard deviation of the number of times he should receive a nibble on his line?
Question 113
Essay
The American Red Cross says that about 11% of the U.S. population has Type B blood. A blood drive is being held at your school. -What is the probability that at least 2 of the first 10 blood donors has Type B blood?
Question 114
Essay
A new clothing store advertises that during its Grand Opening every customer that enters the store can throw a bouncy rubber cube onto a table that has squares labeled with discount amounts. The table is divided into ten regions. Five regions award a 10% discount, two regions award a 20% discount, two regions award a 30% discount, and the remaining region awards a 50% discount. Show your work.
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\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | } \hline 10 & 30 & 10 & 30 & 10 \\\hline 20 & 10 & 50 & 10 & 20 \\\hline\end{array}
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-What is the probability that none of the first three customers gets more than a 30% discount?
Question 115
Essay
Ten little monkeys were jumping on a bed. There is a 35% chance that one will fall off and bump his head. In the bedroom next door, five kangaroos were jumping on a bed. Being more adept at jumping, there is only a 20% that a kangaroo will fall off the bed. -What are the chances that a monkey will not fall off the bed?
Question 116
Essay
A young boy is fishing off the end of a dock. He estimates that for one out of every 15 times he casts his line, he gets at least a nibble from a curious fish. He is going to cast his line 50 times before he switches to toad hunting. -Verify that this scenario satisfies all four conditions for a binomial scenario.
Question 117
Essay
Studying Assume that 75% of the Stats students studied for this test. If 40% of those who study get an A, but only 10% of those who don't study get an A, what is the probability that someone who gets an A actually studied for the test?