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Statistical Reasoning for Everyday Life Study Set 1
Quiz 6: Probability in Statistics
Path 4
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Question 41
Short Answer
If you flip a coin three times, the possible outcomes are HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT. What is the probability of getting at least one head and at least one tail?
Question 42
Short Answer
The following table is from the Social Security Actuarial Tables. For each age, it gives the probability of death within one year, the number living out of an original 100,000, and the additional life expectancy for a person of that age. Exact Male Female P(Death Additional P(Death Additional Age
Male
Female
Exact Age
P(Death
within one
year)
Number of
Living
Additional
Life
Expectancy
P(Death
within one
year)
Number of
Living
Additional
Life
Expectancy
10
0.000111
99
,
021
65.13
0.000105
99
,
217
70.22
20
0.001287
98
,
451
55.46
0.000469
98
,
950
60.40
30
0.001375
97
,
113
46.16
0.000627
98
,
431
50.69
40
0.002542
95
,
427
36.88
0.001498
97
,
513
41.11
50
0.005696
91
,
853
28.09
0.003240
95
,
378
31.91
60
0.012263
84
,
692
20.00
0.007740
90
,
847
23.21
70
0.028904
70
,
214
12.98
0.018938
80
,
583
15.45
80
0.071687
44
,
272
7.43
0.049527
59
,
341
9.00
90
0.188644
12
,
868
3.68
0.146696
24
,
331
4.45
\begin{array}{c}\quad\quad\quad\text { Male } \quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\text { Female }\\\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}\hline{\text {Exact Age }} & \begin{array}{c}\text { P(Death } \\\text { within one } \\\text { year) }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Number of } \\\text { Living }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Additional } \\\text { Life } \\\text { Expectancy }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { P(Death } \\\text { within one } \\\text { year) }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Number of } \\\text { Living }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Additional } \\\text { Life } \\\text { Expectancy }\end{array} \\\hline 10 & 0.000111 & 99,021 & 65.13 & 0.000105 & 99,217 & 70.22 \\\hline 20 & 0.001287 & 98,451 & 55.46 & 0.000469 & 98,950 & 60.40 \\\hline 30 & 0.001375 & 97,113 & 46.16 & 0.000627 & 98,431 & 50.69 \\\hline 40 & 0.002542 & 95,427 & 36.88 & 0.001498 & 97,513 & 41.11 \\\hline 50 & 0.005696 & 91,853 & 28.09 & 0.003240 & 95,378 & 31.91 \\\hline 60 & 0.012263 & 84,692 & 20.00 & 0.007740 & 90,847 & 23.21 \\\hline 70 & 0.028904 & 70,214 & 12.98 & 0.018938 & 80,583 & 15.45 \\\hline 80 & 0.071687 & 44,272 & 7.43 & 0.049527 & 59,341 & 9.00 \\\hline 90 & 0.188644 & 12,868 & 3.68 & 0.146696 & 24,331 & 4.45 \\\hline\end{array}\end{array}
Male
Female
Exact Age
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
P(Death
within one
year)
0.000111
0.001287
0.001375
0.002542
0.005696
0.012263
0.028904
0.071687
0.188644
Number of
Living
99
,
021
98
,
451
97
,
113
95
,
427
91
,
853
84
,
692
70
,
214
44
,
272
12
,
868
Additional
Life
Expectancy
65.13
55.46
46.16
36.88
28.09
20.00
12.98
7.43
3.68
P(Death
within one
year)
0.000105
0.000469
0.000627
0.001498
0.003240
0.007740
0.018938
0.049527
0.146696
Number of
Living
99
,
217
98
,
950
98
,
431
97
,
513
95
,
378
90
,
847
80
,
583
59
,
341
24
,
331
Additional
Life
Expectancy
70.22
60.40
50.69
41.11
31.91
23.21
15.45
9.00
4.45
To what age may a male of age 60 expect to live on the average?
Question 43
Short Answer
From four men and two women, a committee is formed by drawing four names out of a hat. List all possible drawings and determine the probability that two men and two women are selected. (Hint: Your list should contain 15 possibilities.)
Question 44
Multiple Choice
The advertising for a cold remedy claimed that no other cold remedy acted faster. In a experiment to compare that remedy with another one, it did act faster on average, but the result was not significant. What does this mean?