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Statistical Reasoning for Everyday Life Study Set 1
Quiz 6: Probability in Statistics
Path 4
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Question 41
Short Answer
If you flip a coin three times, the possible outcomes are HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT. What is the probability of getting at least one head and at least one tail?
Question 42
Short Answer
The following table is from the Social Security Actuarial Tables. For each age, it gives the probability of death within one year, the number living out of an original 100,000, and the additional life expectancy for a person of that age. Exact Male Female P(Death Additional P(Death Additional Age
Male
Female
Exact Age
P(Death
within one
year)
Number of
Living
Additional
Life
Expectancy
P(Death
within one
year)
Number of
Living
Additional
Life
Expectancy
10
0.000111
99
,
021
65.13
0.000105
99
,
217
70.22
20
0.001287
98
,
451
55.46
0.000469
98
,
950
60.40
30
0.001375
97
,
113
46.16
0.000627
98
,
431
50.69
40
0.002542
95
,
427
36.88
0.001498
97
,
513
41.11
50
0.005696
91
,
853
28.09
0.003240
95
,
378
31.91
60
0.012263
84
,
692
20.00
0.007740
90
,
847
23.21
70
0.028904
70
,
214
12.98
0.018938
80
,
583
15.45
80
0.071687
44
,
272
7.43
0.049527
59
,
341
9.00
90
0.188644
12
,
868
3.68
0.146696
24
,
331
4.45
\begin{array}{c}\quad\quad\quad\text { Male } \quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\quad\text { Female }\\\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}\hline{\text {Exact Age }} & \begin{array}{c}\text { P(Death } \\\text { within one } \\\text { year) }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Number of } \\\text { Living }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Additional } \\\text { Life } \\\text { Expectancy }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { P(Death } \\\text { within one } \\\text { year) }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Number of } \\\text { Living }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Additional } \\\text { Life } \\\text { Expectancy }\end{array} \\\hline 10 & 0.000111 & 99,021 & 65.13 & 0.000105 & 99,217 & 70.22 \\\hline 20 & 0.001287 & 98,451 & 55.46 & 0.000469 & 98,950 & 60.40 \\\hline 30 & 0.001375 & 97,113 & 46.16 & 0.000627 & 98,431 & 50.69 \\\hline 40 & 0.002542 & 95,427 & 36.88 & 0.001498 & 97,513 & 41.11 \\\hline 50 & 0.005696 & 91,853 & 28.09 & 0.003240 & 95,378 & 31.91 \\\hline 60 & 0.012263 & 84,692 & 20.00 & 0.007740 & 90,847 & 23.21 \\\hline 70 & 0.028904 & 70,214 & 12.98 & 0.018938 & 80,583 & 15.45 \\\hline 80 & 0.071687 & 44,272 & 7.43 & 0.049527 & 59,341 & 9.00 \\\hline 90 & 0.188644 & 12,868 & 3.68 & 0.146696 & 24,331 & 4.45 \\\hline\end{array}\end{array}
Male
Female
Exact Age
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
P(Death
within one
year)
0.000111
0.001287
0.001375
0.002542
0.005696
0.012263
0.028904
0.071687
0.188644
Number of
Living
99
,
021
98
,
451
97
,
113
95
,
427
91
,
853
84
,
692
70
,
214
44
,
272
12
,
868
Additional
Life
Expectancy
65.13
55.46
46.16
36.88
28.09
20.00
12.98
7.43
3.68
P(Death
within one
year)
0.000105
0.000469
0.000627
0.001498
0.003240
0.007740
0.018938
0.049527
0.146696
Number of
Living
99
,
217
98
,
950
98
,
431
97
,
513
95
,
378
90
,
847
80
,
583
59
,
341
24
,
331
Additional
Life
Expectancy
70.22
60.40
50.69
41.11
31.91
23.21
15.45
9.00
4.45
To what age may a male of age 60 expect to live on the average?
Question 43
Short Answer
From four men and two women, a committee is formed by drawing four names out of a hat. List all possible drawings and determine the probability that two men and two women are selected. (Hint: Your list should contain 15 possibilities.)
Question 44
Multiple Choice
The advertising for a cold remedy claimed that no other cold remedy acted faster. In a experiment to compare that remedy with another one, it did act faster on average, but the result was not significant. What does this mean?
Question 45
Essay
A bag contains four chips of which one is red, one is blue, one is green, and one is yellow. A chip is selected at random from the bag and then replaced in the bag. A second chip is then selected at random. Make a list of the possible outcomes (for example RB represents the outcome red chip followed by blue chip) and use your list to determine the probability that the two chips selected are the same color. (Hint: There are 16 possible outcomes.)
Question 46
Short Answer
If a sample space has 5000 equally likely possible outcomes, what is the probability of each one?
Question 47
Multiple Choice
state whether there is one way for the given observation to occur (outcome) or more than one way for the observation to occur (event) . -Five electronic switches are tested at random from a day's production and the first one is found to be defective. Not knowing the status of the other four, is this observation an outcome or an event?
Question 48
True/False
Is it significant to be dealt an ace when you are dealt one card from a standard 52-card deck. (There are four aces in the deck.)
Question 49
Short Answer
From the table in Problem 16, how many 50-year old females on average will be living at age 51?
Question 50
Short Answer
If a person is randomly selected, find the probability that his or her birthday is not in May. Ignore leap years. There are 365 days in a year. Express your answer as a fraction.
Question 51
Short Answer
In a certain class of students, there are 10 boys from Wilmette, 4 girls from Kenilworth, 9 girls from Wilmette, 5 boys from Glencoe, 5 boys from Kenilworth and 6 girls from Glencoe. If the teacher calls upon a student to answer a question, what is the probability that the student will be a girl? Express your answer to 3 decimal places.
Question 52
Short Answer
A bag of marbles hold 5 red marbles, 6 green marbles and 14 blue marbles. If one marble is drawn out, what is the probability that it green?
Question 53
Multiple Choice
Jody checked the temperature 12 times on Monday, and the last digit of the temperature was odd six times more than it was even. On Tuesday, she checked it 18 times and the last digit was odd eight times more than it was even. Determine which series is closer to the 50/50 ratio of odd/even expected of such a series of temperature checks.
Question 54
Short Answer
100 employees of a company are asked how they get to work and whether they work full time or part time. The following figure shows the results for transportation. If one of the 100 employees is randomly selected, find the probability that the person does not ride a bicycle.
A) Public transportation: 8 full time, 9 part time B) Bicycle: 3 full time, 5 part time C) Drive alone: 29 full time, 27 part time D) Carpool: 9 full time, 10 part time
Question 55
Multiple Choice
A 28-year-old man pays $125 for a one-year life insurance policy with coverage of $140,000. If the probability that he will live through the year is 0.9994, to the nearest dollar, what is the man's expected value for the insurance policy?
Question 56
Multiple Choice
state whether there is one way for the given observation to occur (outcome) or more than one way for the observation to occur (event) . -A coin is tossed three times and HHT (heads, heads, tails) is observed. Is this result an outcome or an event?
Question 57
Short Answer
In a poll, respondents were asked whether they had ever been in a car accident. respondents indicated that they had been in a car accident and 370 respondents said that they had not been in a car accident. If one of these respondents is randomly selected, what is the probability of getting someone who has been in a car accident? Round to the nearest thousandth.
Question 58
Essay
A die with 12 sides is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a number less than 11? Is this the same as rolling a total less than 11 with two six-sided dice? Explain.
Question 59
True/False
A collection of western novels by Zane Grey available from Amazon for a Kindle device contains 26 novels. If one novel is selected at random, would it be considered significant if the novel selected was The Mysterious Rider.