Assume that the premise(s) of the following argument are true. Apply the other three tests of the worthiness of an argument in their proper order: "It is March tenth and already this year six people have ordered new glasses with plastic frames. Last year only four people had ordered plastic frames by this date. That's an increase of 50 percent. We had better stock up. It's going to be a busy year." That argument is an example of ________.
A) a fallacy masquerading as a valid inference
B) a fallacy masquerading as a warranted inference
C) a fallacy of relevance
D) a circular argument
E) an argument that is worthy of acceptance, if the premises were in fact true

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The argument is making a prediction based on a small sample size and a short timeframe, which does not necessarily warrant the conclusion that it will be a busy year. This is a fallacy masquerading as a warranted inference because it appears logical but is actually flawed.

Assume That the Premise(s) of the Following Argument Are True