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Consider This Argument Offered by the Assistant Principal of a High

Question 4

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Consider this argument offered by the assistant principal of a high school: "Fact is 99% of the time when a high school gets a bomb threat it is because some kid is not prepared to take an exam that day. Our school just received a bomb threat. So this means that one of our students is not prepared to take an exam today." That argument is an example of ________.


A) the Gambler's Fallacy
B) the fallacy of False Cause
C) a valid argument. The conclusion cannot be false if the premises are true
D) a warranted argument. The conclusion might be false even if the premises are true
E) a demonstration of the statistical correlation between fake bomb threats and unprepared students

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