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Consider a Binomial Tree Setting in Which in Each Period u>1u > 1

Question 2

Multiple Choice

Consider a binomial tree setting in which in each period the price goes up by u>1u > 1 (with probability pp ) or down by d<1d < 1 (with probability 1p1 - p ) . The risk-free interest rate per time step is zero, so a dollar invested at the beginning of the period returns a dollar at the end of the period. In this setting, let Q1Q_1 be the risk-neutral probability of a one-period at-the-money call finishing in-the-money. and let Q2Q _ { 2 } be the risk-neutral probability of a two-period at-the-money call finishing in-the-money. Which of the following is true?


A) Q1>Q2Q _ { 1 } > Q _ { 2 } .
B) Q1<Q2Q _ { 1 } < Q _ { 2 } .
C) Q1=Q2Q _ { 1 } = Q _ { 2 } .
D) Depending on the parameters uu and dd , more than one of the above is possible.

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