Exhibit 14.10
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An investor is considering 4 investments, W, X, Y, and Z. The payoff from each investment is a function of the economic climate over the next 2 years. The economy can expand or decline. The following payoff matrix has been developed for the decision problem. The investor has estimated the probability of a declining economy at 80% and an expanding economy at 20%.
-Refer to Exhibit 14.10. The original payoff data is in the worksheet above called "Payoffs". What formula should go in cell B5 of the spreadsheet if the expected regret decision rule is to be used?
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