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The Following Table Shows Cost Payoffs for Four Decision Variables

Question 27

Short Answer

The following table shows cost payoffs for four decision variables and four states of nature.
S1SzS3S4d1168154d21212106d310121610d49142012\begin{array} { c | c c c c } & \mathbf { S } _ { 1 } & \mathbf { S } _ { \mathbf { z } } & \mathbf { S } _ { \mathbf { 3 } } & \mathbf { S } _ { \mathbf { 4 } } \\\hline \mathrm { d } _ { 1 } & 16 & \mathbf { 8 } & 15 & 4 \\\mathbf { d } _ { 2 } & 12 & 12 & 10 & 6 \\d _ { 3 } & 10 & 12 & 16 & 10 \\d _ { 4 } & 9 & 14 & 20 & 12\end{array}
a. Which decision variable would be selected using minimin criteria?
b. Remembering that the data represents cost, which decision variable would be selected using minimax?
c. Remembering that the data represents cost, which decision variable would be selected using minimax-regrets criteria.
d. Suppose the decision-maker assigns the probability for S1 = 0.10; S2 = 0.25; S3 = 0.45; and S4 = 0.20, which decision variable would be picked using the expected value criterion?

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