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Let uiu _ { i } Be Distributed N(0 σu2\sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 }

Question 54

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Let uiu _ { i } be distributed N(0, σu2\sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 } ), i.e., the errors are distributed normally with a constant variance (homoskedasticity). This results in β^1\hat{\beta }_ { 1 } being distributed N(?1, σβ^12\sigma _ { \hat { \beta } 1 } ^ { 2 } ), where σp12=σu2i=1n(XiXˉ)2\sigma _ { p 1 } ^ { 2 } = \frac { \sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 } } { \sum _ { i = 1 } ^ { n } \left( X _ { i } - \bar { X } \right) ^ { 2 } } Statistical inference would be straightforward if σu2\sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 } was known. One way to deal with this problem is to replace σu2\sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 } with an estimator Su^2S _ { \hat { u} } ^ { 2 } Clearly since this introduces more uncertainty, you cannot expect β^1\hat{\beta} _ { 1 } to be still normally distributed. Indeed, the t-statistic now follows Student's t distribution. Look at the table for the Student t-distribution and focus on the 5% two-sided significance level. List the critical values for 10 degrees of freedom, 30 degrees of freedom, 60 degrees of freedom, and finally ? degrees of freedom. Describe how the notion of uncertainty about σu2\sigma _ { u } ^ { 2 } can be incorporated about the tails of the t-distribution as the degrees of freedom increase.

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