When a manager makes a decision based on the strong beliefs she already has, she is guilty of a prior-hypothesis bias.

Question

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When confronted with a choice, decision makers with strong prior beliefs tend to make their decision based on their beliefs, even if evidence shows those beliefs are wrong.This is known as the prior-hypothesis bias.Although it's always more comforting to look for evidence to support your prior beliefs, you need to be tough-minded and weigh the evidence.

When a Manager Makes a Decision Based on the Strong