The weather forecaster on Channel 6 says that tomorrow with be hot.The forecaster on Channel 8 says that tomorrow will be hot and humid.Because of the ___,you think that Channel 8's forecast is more accurate.
A)case-data bias
B)false consensus effect
C)dilution effect
D)conjunction error
E)irrelevance error

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The conjunction error occurs when people believe that the co-occurrence of two events is more likely than the occurrence of one of the events individually. In this case, the forecaster on Channel 8 is providing more information than the forecaster on Channel 6 (hot and humid vs just hot), which may lead people to believe their forecast is more accurate. However, this is not necessarily true, as both forecasts could be accurate.

The Weather Forecaster on Channel 6 Says That Tomorrow with Be