When one's memory for an event is especially vivid, one may overestimate the likelihood of the event's future occurrence.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

This is known as the availability heuristic, where people base their judgments on easily accessible and vivid information (such as a particularly memorable event) rather than more accurate but less easily accessible information (such as statistical probabilities).

When One's Memory for an Event Is Especially Vivid, One