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An Online Psychic (Psi) Ability or Extrasensory Perception (ESP) Test

Question 12

Multiple Choice

An online psychic (psi) ability or extrasensory perception (ESP) test shows the participant five face-down cards on the screen and asks the participant to "click on the one card that has a picture on the other side." After clicking a card, the test shows you the card to determine if your guess was correct.
-Based on the simulation results in the bar plot, if someone guessed correctly four times, would you consider this evidence that the person has ESP?


A) Yes, since the probability the person does not have ESP is less than 1%.
B) Yes, since if they did not have ESP, the probability of four or more correct guesses is less than 1%.
C) No, since they did not guess all five correctly.
D) No, since it's still possible for a person to guess correctly four times if they don't have ESP.

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