For a forecast to show skill it must ____.
A)be better than one based on persistence or climatology
B)be accurate to within 2 degrees Celsius of the predicted temperature
C)be accurate for over more than 90 percent of the forecast area
D)use the analog method of forecasting
E)use a probability

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

A forecast shows skill when it performs better than a simple forecast based on persistence (assuming current conditions will continue) or climatology (assuming average conditions for a location and time of year). The other options are specific methods or accuracy thresholds, not general criteria for forecast skill.

For a Forecast to Show Skill It Must ____