Marcus heard on the radio that there is a 50% chance of rain today. Janis heard that there was 50% of clear skies. Who is more likely to believe that it will not rain today and why?
A)Marcus because of confirmation bias
B)Janis because of a belief bias effect
C)Janis because of a framing effect
D)Janis because of availability
E)Both equally because of inductive reasoning

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Janis is more likely to believe it will not rain due to the framing effect, which influences decisions based on how information is presented. Hearing "50% chance of clear skies" frames the weather positively, making Janis more inclined to believe it will not rain.

Marcus Heard on the Radio That There Is a 50