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Operations Managers Often Use Work Sampling to Estimate How Much y=\quad y =

Question 99

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Operations managers often use work sampling to estimate how much time workers spend on each operation. Work sampling-which involves observing workers at random points in time-was applied to the staff of the catalog sales department of a clothing manufacturer. The department applied regression to the following data collected for 40 consecutive working days: TIME: y=\quad y = Time spent (in hours) taking telephone orders during the day
ORDERS: x1=\quad x _ { 1 } = Number of telephone orders received during the day
WEEK: x2=1\quad x _ { 2 } = 1 weekday, 0 if Saturday or Sunday
Consider the following 2 models:
Model 1: E(y)=β0+β1x1+β2(x1)2+β3x2+β4x1x2+β5(x1)2x2E ( y ) = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } \left( x _ { 1 } \right) ^ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 4 } x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 5 } \left( x _ { 1 } \right) ^ { 2 } x _ { 2 }
Model 2: E(y)=β0+β1x1+β3x2E ( y ) = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 2 }
What strategy should you employ to decide which of the two models, the higher-order model or the simple linear model, is better?

A) Compare the two models with a nested model F\mathrm { F } -test, i.e., test the null hypothesis, H0:β2=β4=β5=0H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 2 } = \beta _ { 4 } = \beta _ { 5 } = 0 .
B) Compare R2R ^ { 2 } values; the model with the larger R2R ^ { 2 } will always be the better model.
C) Compare the two models with a t-test, i.e., test the null hypothesis, H0:β1=0H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = 0 .
D) Always choose the more parsimonious of the two models, i.e., the model with the fewest number of β\beta -coefficients.

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