Write the Word or Phrase That Best Completes Each Statement $20 - 24$

Write the word or phrase that best completes each statement or answers the question.
-The rates of death (in number of deaths per 100,000 population) for $20 - 24$ year olds in the United States between 1985-1993 are given below. (Source: NCHS Data Warehouse)
$\begin{array}{c|c}\text { Year } & \text { Rate of Death } \\\hline 1985 & 134.9 \\\hline 1987 & 154.7 \\\hline 1989 & 162.9 \\\hline 1991 & 174.5 \\\hline 1993 & 182.2\end{array}$
A logarithmic equation that models this data is $y = 57.76 + 48.56 \ln x$ where $x$ represents the number of years sinc 1980 and y represents the rate of death in that year. Use this equation to predict the year in which the rate of death for $20 - 24$ year olds first exceeds 200 .