In the Delphi method of judgmental forecasting, _____.
A) predictions are based on the assumption that the future will be an extrapolation of the past
B) predictions are based on one or more independent variables, all of which are numerical
C) people from outside an organization are not eligible to make predictions
D) experts are not consulted as a group to make predictions

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The Delphi method involves consulting a group of experts, but it does not require them to make predictions as a group. Instead, they make individual predictions which are then combined and refined through a series of rounds of feedback and discussion. The method does not assume that the future will be an extrapolation of the past, nor does it require all independent variables to be numerical. People from outside the organization can also participate in the process.

In the Delphi Method of Judgmental Forecasting, _____