Suppose a linear probability model you have developed finds there are two factors influencing the past bankruptcy behavior of firms: the debt ratio and the profit margin. Based on past bankruptcy experience, the linear probability model is estimated as:
PDi = 0.23 (debt ratio) + 0.08 (profit margin)
A firm you are thinking of lending to has a debt ratio of 60 percent and a profit margin of 12 percent. Calculate the firm's expected probability of default, or bankruptcy.
A) 14.76 percent
B) 22.32 percent
C) 10.30 percent
D) 13.25 percent
Correct Answer:
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