In order to demonstrate true skill, a forecast must do a better job than a climate- based prediction.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

A forecast is a specific prediction of future weather conditions based on current observations and modeling, while a climate-based prediction is a general outlook based on long-term patterns and trends. To demonstrate true skill, a forecast must accurately predict conditions beyond what can be predicted by climate-based patterns alone.

In Order to Demonstrate True Skill, a Forecast Must Do