Deck 7: Introduction in Inferential Statistics, the Sampling Distribution, and Estimation
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Deck 7: Introduction in Inferential Statistics, the Sampling Distribution, and Estimation
1
What are the three distributions involved in every application of inferential statistics?
A)sample,sampling,and population
B)sample,stratification,cluster
C)EPSEM,random,probability
D)sampling,percentage,normal
A)sample,sampling,and population
B)sample,stratification,cluster
C)EPSEM,random,probability
D)sampling,percentage,normal
A
2
There are about 70 million eligible voters in a society.A public opinion pollster has estimated their probable choices for the next president with a sample of 2,000 randomly selected citizens.In this example,the 2,000 citizens are a ____ and the 70 million eligible voters are a ____.
A)sampling distribution;sample distribution
B)population;cluster
C)cluster;proportion
D)sample;population
A)sampling distribution;sample distribution
B)population;cluster
C)cluster;proportion
D)sample;population
D
3
Statistics are to parameters as
A)samples are to populations.
B)populations are to samples.
C)medians are to standard deviations.
D)percentages are to proportions.
A)samples are to populations.
B)populations are to samples.
C)medians are to standard deviations.
D)percentages are to proportions.
A
4
For a simple random sample,each case and each combination of cases in the population must
A)be representative.
B)be included in the sample.
C)be contacted by the researcher.
D)have an equal probability of being chosen for the sample.
A)be representative.
B)be included in the sample.
C)be contacted by the researcher.
D)have an equal probability of being chosen for the sample.
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5
Samples are to populations as
A)big is to little.
B)central tendency is to dispersion.
C)measures are to variables.
D)statistics are to parameters.
A)big is to little.
B)central tendency is to dispersion.
C)measures are to variables.
D)statistics are to parameters.
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6
Compared to probability samples,non-probability samples
A)are usually cheaper to assemble.
B)are always much larger.
C)are usually more expensive to assemble.
D)allow for generalizations to populations.
A)are usually cheaper to assemble.
B)are always much larger.
C)are usually more expensive to assemble.
D)allow for generalizations to populations.
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7
Both the sample and the population distributions are empirical,which means that they are
A)theoretical
B)real
C)ordinal
D)stratified
A)theoretical
B)real
C)ordinal
D)stratified
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8
A researcher questioned 45 randomly-selected members of the freshman class about their experiences drinking alcohol and used these responses to estimate the drinking behavior of the entire freshman class of 1500.In this example,the 45 interviewees were the ____ and the ____ was the population.
A)sample;student body
B)parameters;freshman class
C)statistics;parameters
D)sample;freshman class
A)sample;student body
B)parameters;freshman class
C)statistics;parameters
D)sample;freshman class
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9
The goal of all techniques for selecting probability samples is to select samples that are
A)very large.
B)non-random.
C)easily located.
D)representative.
A)very large.
B)non-random.
C)easily located.
D)representative.
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10
If a sample is representative,it
A)is stratified.
B)is restricted to the calculation of parameters only.
C)reproduces the characteristics of the population.
D)resembles the sampling distribution
A)is stratified.
B)is restricted to the calculation of parameters only.
C)reproduces the characteristics of the population.
D)resembles the sampling distribution
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11
The fundamental principle of probability sampling is that a sample selected by ____ is very likely to be ____.
A)EPSEM;representative
B)stratification;large
C)telephone polls;cheap
D)clusters;stratified
A)EPSEM;representative
B)stratification;large
C)telephone polls;cheap
D)clusters;stratified
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12
The sampling distribution links the ____ to the ____.
A)stratified;EPSEM
B)statistical;empirical
C)sample;population
D)empirical;real
A)stratified;EPSEM
B)statistical;empirical
C)sample;population
D)empirical;real
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13
A sample selected according to the principle of EPSEM is extremely likely to be
A)large.
B)biased.
C)representative.
D)inaccurate.
A)large.
B)biased.
C)representative.
D)inaccurate.
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14
Unless a sample is ____,it cannot be used to make accurate generalizations to a population.
A)very large
B)non-probability
C)representative
D)stratified
A)very large
B)non-probability
C)representative
D)stratified
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15
Statistics are characteristics of samples while ____ are characteristics of ____.
A)percentages;populations
B)medians;clusters
C)parameters;stratified samples
D)parameters;populations
A)percentages;populations
B)medians;clusters
C)parameters;stratified samples
D)parameters;populations
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16
Unlike the sample and population distributions,the sampling distribution is
A)empirical.
B)theoretical.
C)random.
D)EPSEM.
A)empirical.
B)theoretical.
C)random.
D)EPSEM.
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17
To select a simple random sample,a researcher needs
A)a list of the population and system for selecting cases according to EPSEM.
B)a list of the sample and a well developed sampling distribution.
C)a sampling distribution and a table of random numbers.
D)a parameter and a cluster.
A)a list of the population and system for selecting cases according to EPSEM.
B)a list of the sample and a well developed sampling distribution.
C)a sampling distribution and a table of random numbers.
D)a parameter and a cluster.
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18
A researcher tests a theory about sexism by administering a survey to the 200 students in her sociology classes.This sample is best characterized as a
A)cluster sample.
B)stratified random sample.
C)non-probability sample.
D)sampling distribution.
A)cluster sample.
B)stratified random sample.
C)non-probability sample.
D)sampling distribution.
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19
I use the principle of EPSEM to select a sample from my church for an opinion poll.The sample
A)is guaranteed to be representative of the population.
B)has a high probability of being representative.
C)should never be larger than 100.
D)should be larger than the population.
A)is guaranteed to be representative of the population.
B)has a high probability of being representative.
C)should never be larger than 100.
D)should be larger than the population.
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20
Social scientists gather data from samples instead of populations because
A)samples are much larger and more complete.
B)samples are more trustworthy.
C)populations are often too large to test.
D)samples are more meaningful and interesting.
A)samples are much larger and more complete.
B)samples are more trustworthy.
C)populations are often too large to test.
D)samples are more meaningful and interesting.
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21
The Central Limit Theorem states that as sample size becomes large
A)the sampling distribution of sample means approaches normality.
B)the sampling distribution of sample means becomes larger.
C)the population distribution becomes normal.
D)the sample distribution becomes normal.
A)the sampling distribution of sample means approaches normality.
B)the sampling distribution of sample means becomes larger.
C)the population distribution becomes normal.
D)the sample distribution becomes normal.
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22
By the theorems presented in the text,we know that the mean of a sampling distribution of sample means will be
A)the same as the population mean.
B)close to the value of the sample mean.
C)between the population and sample means in value.
D)representative of the entire population.
A)the same as the population mean.
B)close to the value of the sample mean.
C)between the population and sample means in value.
D)representative of the entire population.
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23
The standard error of the mean is the same thing as
A)the standard deviation of a sample.
B)the standard deviation of a population.
C)the standard deviation of a sampling distribution.
D)the variance of a sample.
A)the standard deviation of a sample.
B)the standard deviation of a population.
C)the standard deviation of a sampling distribution.
D)the variance of a sample.
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24
Public opinion polls and election projections are examples of
A)estimation procedures.
B)hypothesis testing.
C)non-statistical research methods.
D)blatant misuse of statistical procedures.
A)estimation procedures.
B)hypothesis testing.
C)non-statistical research methods.
D)blatant misuse of statistical procedures.
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25
The mean age of all college graduates is 35.If the population distribution is normal,the mean of any sampling distribution of sample mean ages of college graduates will be
A)within plus or minus 1 standard deviation of 35.
B)close to 35.
C)35.
D)determined by the size of the distribution.
A)within plus or minus 1 standard deviation of 35.
B)close to 35.
C)35.
D)determined by the size of the distribution.
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26
The shape of the sampling distribution of sample means can be assumed to be normal when N is
A)a large percentage of the population.
B)any number as long as you know the value of the population mean.
C)100 or more.
D)at least twice the value of the population standard deviation.
A)a large percentage of the population.
B)any number as long as you know the value of the population mean.
C)100 or more.
D)at least twice the value of the population standard deviation.
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27
The purpose of inferential statistics is to acquire knowledge of the ____ from the ____ by means of the ____ distribution
A)population;sample;sampling
B)sample;sampling;population
C)inductive;empirical;stratified
D)theoretical;empirical;theoretical
A)population;sample;sampling
B)sample;sampling;population
C)inductive;empirical;stratified
D)theoretical;empirical;theoretical
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28
In a sampling distribution of sample means,most of the sample means will
A)cluster around the true population value.
B)be below the population mean in value.
C)be above the population mean in value.
D)not follow any particular pattern.
A)cluster around the true population value.
B)be below the population mean in value.
C)be above the population mean in value.
D)not follow any particular pattern.
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29
Your sample size is 1000.It is safe to assume that
A)the shape of the sampling distribution of sample means is normal.
B)the sample is representative of the population.
C)the population distribution is normal.
D)the sample distribution is normal.
A)the shape of the sampling distribution of sample means is normal.
B)the sample is representative of the population.
C)the population distribution is normal.
D)the sample distribution is normal.
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30
According to the theorems presented in Chapter 7,we can be sure that the sampling distribution is normal if
A)the population is small.
B)the population is normal.
C)the sample is stratified.
D)the sample is normal.
A)the population is small.
B)the population is normal.
C)the sample is stratified.
D)the sample is normal.
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31
With a sample size of 75,a normal sampling distribution can be assumed if
A)the cases in the sample are homogeneous.
B)the cases in the sample are heterogeneous.
C)the population distribution is normal.
D)the sample distribution is normal.
A)the cases in the sample are homogeneous.
B)the cases in the sample are heterogeneous.
C)the population distribution is normal.
D)the sample distribution is normal.
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32
When we use larger samples (N > 100),we can assume a normal sampling distribution because of
A)common sense.
B)the Central Limit Theorem.
C)what we know about the population.
D)what we know about the sample.
A)common sense.
B)the Central Limit Theorem.
C)what we know about the population.
D)what we know about the sample.
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33
In estimation procedures,____ are estimated based on the value of ____.
A)statistics;parameters
B)parameters;statistics
C)values;frequencies
D)sample;populations
A)statistics;parameters
B)parameters;statistics
C)values;frequencies
D)sample;populations
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34
The theorems presented in Chapter 7 tell us that if a sample is "large" the sampling distribution will be
A)the same shape as the population.
B)normal.
C)small.
D)irrelevant.
A)the same shape as the population.
B)normal.
C)small.
D)irrelevant.
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35
I surveyed 48 randomly-selected residents of the apartment complex where I live to determine their voting habits.I can only use this information to generalize to all the residents if
A)there is evidence of a normal population distribution.
B)the 48 residents all have the same voting habits.
C)the 48 residents are equally divided in their voting habits.
D)the sample distribution is not normal in shape.
A)there is evidence of a normal population distribution.
B)the 48 residents all have the same voting habits.
C)the 48 residents are equally divided in their voting habits.
D)the sample distribution is not normal in shape.
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36
The General Social Survey (GSS)is an example of a
A)sample.
B)sampling distribution.
C)population.
D)all of these
A)sample.
B)sampling distribution.
C)population.
D)all of these
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37
In comparing a sampling distribution with a population distribution,
A)there will always be more variance in the sampling distribution.
B)there will always be more variance in the population distribution.
C)as the size of the sample increases the two distributions will become identical.
D)the two distributions will always be the same.
A)there will always be more variance in the sampling distribution.
B)there will always be more variance in the population distribution.
C)as the size of the sample increases the two distributions will become identical.
D)the two distributions will always be the same.
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38
The goal of estimation procedures is to infer ____ from ____.
A)intervals;estimates
B)bias;efficiency
C)statistics;parameters
D)parameters;statistics
A)intervals;estimates
B)bias;efficiency
C)statistics;parameters
D)parameters;statistics
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39
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution is represented by which of the following symbol(s)?
A)
B)
C)
D)
A)
B)
C)
D)
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40
Using the General Social Survey as an example,the concept of the sampling distribution allows us to link the sample of about ____ respondents to the population of about ____ adult Americans
A)10,000;200 million
B)225 million;3000
C)1 million;300 million
D)3,000 or 4,000;225 million
A)10,000;200 million
B)225 million;3000
C)1 million;300 million
D)3,000 or 4,000;225 million
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41
We can estimate the probability that sample means and proportions lie within a given distance of the population value because these statistics are
A)unbiased.
B)efficient.
C)random.
D)biaseD.
A)unbiased.
B)efficient.
C)random.
D)biaseD.
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42
In estimation procedures,the alpha level is
A)the same as the confidence level.
B)the parameter we are trying to estimate.
C)always greater than the standard error.
D)equal to the efficiency ratio minus the bias coefficient.
A)the same as the confidence level.
B)the parameter we are trying to estimate.
C)always greater than the standard error.
D)equal to the efficiency ratio minus the bias coefficient.
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43
An estimator is unbiased if the mean of its sampling distribution is equal to
A)the midpoint of the distribution.
B)the sample mean.
C)the population value.
D)the population median.
A)the midpoint of the distribution.
B)the sample mean.
C)the population value.
D)the population median.
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44
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 2.In this example,the parameter is
A)300.
B)30.
C) 2.
D)unknown.
A)300.
B)30.
C) 2.
D)unknown.
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45
A confidence level of 99% is the same as an alpha level of
A)0.05.
B)0.10.
C)0.01.
D)0.001.
A)0.05.
B)0.10.
C)0.01.
D)0.001.
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46
The sizes of four samples vary as follows:
Sample A,N = 100
Sample B,N = 76
Sample C,N = 1000
Sample D,N = 150
Which sample will produce the most efficient estimate?
A)Sample A
B)Sample B
C)Sample C
D)Sample D
Sample A,N = 100
Sample B,N = 76
Sample C,N = 1000
Sample D,N = 150
Which sample will produce the most efficient estimate?
A)Sample A
B)Sample B
C)Sample C
D)Sample D
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47
To increase the probability that a confidence interval will include the population parameter,
A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
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48
The larger the sample size (N),the
A)smaller the parameter.
B)greater the efficiency.
C)lower the bias.
D)larger the standard error of the mean.
A)smaller the parameter.
B)greater the efficiency.
C)lower the bias.
D)larger the standard error of the mean.
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49
The efficiency of a sample estimator is essentially a matter of
A)accuracy
B)validity
C)centrality
D)dispersion
A)accuracy
B)validity
C)centrality
D)dispersion
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50
The most commonly used confidence level is
A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
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51
Two sample statistics are unbiased estimators.They are
A)means and proportions.
B)means and standard deviations.
C)medians and modes.
D)proportions and percentages.
A)means and proportions.
B)means and standard deviations.
C)medians and modes.
D)proportions and percentages.
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52
The probability that an interval estimate does not include the population value is called
A)the margin.
B)alpha.
C)an error.
D)the odds.
A)the margin.
B)alpha.
C)an error.
D)the odds.
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53
The more efficient the estimate,the more the sampling distribution
A)is evenly spread from the mean to 2 standard deviations.
B)becomes flatter.
C)clusters to the right of the mean.
D)is clustered around the mean.
A)is evenly spread from the mean to 2 standard deviations.
B)becomes flatter.
C)clusters to the right of the mean.
D)is clustered around the mean.
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54
In ____ of the cases,the mean of a sample selected by EPSEM will be more than 3 Z's from the population mean.
A)less than 1%
B)more than 5%
C)more than 90%
D)more than 99%
A)less than 1%
B)more than 5%
C)more than 90%
D)more than 99%
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55
An alpha level of 0.05 is the same as a confidence level of
A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
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56
The probability that a sample mean is within 1 Z of the population mean is about
A).34.
B).68.
C).95.
D).99.
A).34.
B).68.
C).95.
D).99.
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57
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 2.In this example,the population is
A)the 300 state university students.
B)all state university students.
C)unknown.
D)the same as the parameter.
A)the 300 state university students.
B)all state university students.
C)unknown.
D)the same as the parameter.
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58
In the United States,between 70% and 80% of the people who do the family grocery shopping are women.This is
A)not a finding which can be generalized.
B)a representative parameter.
C)an interval estimate.
D)sexism at its most offensive.
A)not a finding which can be generalized.
B)a representative parameter.
C)an interval estimate.
D)sexism at its most offensive.
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59
The efficiency of any estimator can be improved by
A)increasing the sample size.
B)decreasing the sample size.
C)making the sample representative.
D)changing the sample.
A)increasing the sample size.
B)decreasing the sample size.
C)making the sample representative.
D)changing the sample.
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60
Because there is always a chance that an EPSEM sample might not be representative,alpha cannot be
A)known.
B)1.00.
C)0.00.
D)less than .10.
A)known.
B)1.00.
C)0.00.
D)less than .10.
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61
In estimation procedures,the Z score that corresponds to an alpha of .05 is
A) 1.96.
B) 2.58.
C) 3.78.
D) 9.78.
A) 1.96.
B) 2.58.
C) 3.78.
D) 9.78.
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62
The greater the confidence level,the ____ width of the confidence interval
A)narrower
B)more representative
C)more efficient
D)wider
A)narrower
B)more representative
C)more efficient
D)wider
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63
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation
A)the parameter is $42,000.
B)the sample is unrepresentative.
C)the alpha level is 0.05.
D)the sample mean is $175.
A)the parameter is $42,000.
B)the sample is unrepresentative.
C)the alpha level is 0.05.
D)the sample mean is $175.
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64
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation
A)we can be 95% confident that the population mean is 42,000 175.
B)the sample size is much too small to justify the use of estimation procedures.
C)the alpha level is 1000.
D)the sample mean is $175.
A)we can be 95% confident that the population mean is 42,000 175.
B)the sample size is much too small to justify the use of estimation procedures.
C)the alpha level is 1000.
D)the sample mean is $175.
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65
Polls tracking the presidential election of 2004 showed that
A)Bush lead by a clear margin from start to finish.
B)Kerry lead by a clear margin until just a week before election day.
C)the race was "too close to call" during much of the campaign.
D)voter turnout would be extraordinarily high.
A)Bush lead by a clear margin from start to finish.
B)Kerry lead by a clear margin until just a week before election day.
C)the race was "too close to call" during much of the campaign.
D)voter turnout would be extraordinarily high.
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66
In estimation procedures,as the alpha level decreases,the corresponding Z score
A)moves closer to the mean of the sampling distribution.
B)moves away from the mean of the sampling distribution.
C)becomes negative.
D)becomes positive.
A)moves closer to the mean of the sampling distribution.
B)moves away from the mean of the sampling distribution.
C)becomes negative.
D)becomes positive.
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67
To construct the narrowest possible confidence intervals,use ____.
A)small samples
B)large samples
C)the least efficient estimator
D)an unbiased statistic
A)small samples
B)large samples
C)the least efficient estimator
D)an unbiased statistic
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68
We have used an alpha of 0.01 to estimate the average hours of television viewing for residents in a retirement home.What is the chance that our interval estimate does not contain the true population mean?
A)99%
B)10%
C)1%
D)1/10 of 1%
A)99%
B)10%
C)1%
D)1/10 of 1%
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69
Polls tracking the popularity of President Bush show
A)dramatic increases in support following both the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and the invasion of Iraq.
B)a dramatic increase in support following 9/11 but no particular change after the invasion of Iraq.
C)a remarkable consistency in popularity that never exceeded 55% and never fell below 50%.
D)low levels of support that have often fallen below 25% approval.
A)dramatic increases in support following both the terrorist attacks of 9/11 and the invasion of Iraq.
B)a dramatic increase in support following 9/11 but no particular change after the invasion of Iraq.
C)a remarkable consistency in popularity that never exceeded 55% and never fell below 50%.
D)low levels of support that have often fallen below 25% approval.
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70
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates at the 95% confidence level that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation
A)the parameter is 200.
B)Pu is .43 or .57.
C)N is 100.
D)alpha is 0.05.
A)the parameter is 200.
B)Pu is .43 or .57.
C)N is 100.
D)alpha is 0.05.
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71
The sample standard deviation is a biased estimator of the population standard deviation.When using sample means as estimators,we correct for bias in the formula for finding confidence intervals by
A)using N - 1 rather than N.
B)using N rather than N - 1.
C)using s rather than Z.
D)squaring the value of Z.
A)using N - 1 rather than N.
B)using N rather than N - 1.
C)using s rather than Z.
D)squaring the value of Z.
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72
Wider confidence intervals
A)are sure to include the population value.
B)are less likely to include the population value.
C)are more likely to include the population value.
D)do not alter the chance of including the population value.
A)are sure to include the population value.
B)are less likely to include the population value.
C)are more likely to include the population value.
D)do not alter the chance of including the population value.
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73
When using sample means as estimators,we usually estimate the population standard deviation with
A)the sample standard deviation.
B)the sampling distribution standard deviation.
C)the population parameter.
D)the Z score.
A)the sample standard deviation.
B)the sampling distribution standard deviation.
C)the population parameter.
D)the Z score.
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74
All other things being equal,larger sample will cost more to process
A)but will not necessarily have narrower confidence intervals.
B)and will always produce narrower confidence intervals.
C)and will always produce wider confidence intervals.
D)but will produce more precise intervals if the confidence level is low.
A)but will not necessarily have narrower confidence intervals.
B)and will always produce narrower confidence intervals.
C)and will always produce wider confidence intervals.
D)but will produce more precise intervals if the confidence level is low.
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75
Which sample size will produce the confidence interval with the smallest width?
A)100
B)200
C)500
D)1000
A)100
B)200
C)500
D)1000
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76
As our confidence in an interval estimate increases,the width of the interval
A)decreases.
B)increases.
C)remains the same.
D)increases or decreases depending on the alpha level.
A)decreases.
B)increases.
C)remains the same.
D)increases or decreases depending on the alpha level.
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77
The width of an interval estimate can be controlled by
A)changing the confidence level.
B)changing the alpha level.
C)changing the sample size.
D)any of these
A)changing the confidence level.
B)changing the alpha level.
C)changing the sample size.
D)any of these
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78
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates at the 95% confidence level that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation
A)alpha is .10.
B)Pu is 95.
C)N is 100.
D)Ps is .50.
A)alpha is .10.
B)Pu is 95.
C)N is 100.
D)Ps is .50.
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79
Sample size and the width of confidence intervals
A)increase at the same rate
B)increase at different rates: sample size increases faster than interval width
C)increase at different rates: sample size increases more slowly than interval width
D)have no relationship to each other.
A)increase at the same rate
B)increase at different rates: sample size increases faster than interval width
C)increase at different rates: sample size increases more slowly than interval width
D)have no relationship to each other.
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80
The average weight of a sample of women who attend aerobics classes at the YWCA is 130 pounds.We construct a confidence interval (using an alpha of 0.05)of 3.45.The upper and lower limits of our estimate are
A)130.00 and 133.45.
B)126.55 and 130.45.
C)126.55 and 133.45.
D)unknown;these values will depend on the number of women who are truly serious about exercising.
A)130.00 and 133.45.
B)126.55 and 130.45.
C)126.55 and 133.45.
D)unknown;these values will depend on the number of women who are truly serious about exercising.
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