On his way to the basketball game,Tom says he cannot predict who will win.After his team wins the game,Tom says he knew they were going to win because their defense always plays well together.This is an example of:
A) taking mental shortcuts.
B) the hindsight bias.
C) the self-serving bias.
D) the confirmation bias.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

This is an example of hindsight bias, which involves seeing past events as more predictable than they really were. Tom's initial statement suggests he couldn't predict the outcome of the game, but after his team wins, he retroactively believes he knew they would win because of their defense. This shift in perception is a common example of the hindsight bias.

On His Way to the Basketball Game,Tom Says He Cannot