Even though he knows only a small percentage of high school athletes go on to professional careers,Charlie believes that he will receive a scholarship to play football in college and then will have a career in the NFL.Charlie is
A) not applying base rates to himself.
B) applying base rates to himself.
C) not applying the conjunction fallacy.
D) applying the conjunction fallacy.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Charlie is not applying base rates to himself because he is ignoring the statistical likelihood of becoming a professional athlete and overestimating his personal chances.

Even Though He Knows Only a Small Percentage of High