A college student who starts using crystal meth but states that he will be able to stop at any time is probably making the intuitive error in judgment specifically called
A) the framing effect.
B) the representativeness heuristic.
C) ignoring the base rate.
D) convergent thinking.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Ignoring the base rate refers to the tendency to focus only on specific information and ignore general, statistical information that may be relevant. In this case, the student is ignoring the base rate that addiction to crystal meth is extremely difficult to overcome and is assuming they will be able to stop without taking into account the statistical likelihood of addiction.

A College Student Who Starts Using Crystal Meth but States