If you have almost a perfect score on the first test of a semester,what is the most likely prediction for your second score,and why? Assume these tests are similar to most college tests.
A)You will have the same score as the first time, because people are consistent.
B)You will increase your score to a perfect score because of increased confidence.
C)You will have a somewhat lower score because of overconfidence.
D)You will have a somewhat lower score because scores fluctuate on not-very-reliable tests.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Scores on not-very-reliable tests can fluctuate and are subject to a certain degree of error. Even if the student studies and prepares well, they may have a slightly lower score due to factors such as test anxiety or random error. It is unlikely that the student's overconfidence or increased confidence would have a significant impact on the score, and it is not safe to assume that the student will have the exact same score as the first test. Therefore, D is the most likely prediction.

If You Have Almost a Perfect Score on the First