The government runs an experiment where a random sample of 200 adults over 40 get a 5% tax cut and a random sample of 200 adults under 40 get no tax cut. Their results show that spending, on average, increased 8% with a 5% tax cut. They conclude that a 5% tax cut for all adult Americans will increase spending by 8%. Why is this logic flawed?
A) The effect of the treatment on the treated may not be the average treatment effect.
B) A 5% tax cut for all Americans suffers from selection bias.
C) The measured effect of the treatment on the treated may be biased.
D) The logic is not flawed.
Correct Answer:
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