The conjunction fallacy is a tendency to
A) ignore information about base rates when estimating the probabilities of certain combinations of outcomes.
B) overestimate the odds of a chance event if that event hasn't occurred recently.
C) draw general conclusions based on a few isolated cases.
D) believe that the odds of two uncertain events happening together are greater than the odds of either event happening alone.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The conjunction fallacy is the belief that the odds of two uncertain events happening together are greater than the odds of either event happening alone. This goes against probability theory, as the likelihood of two events occurring together is always less than or equal to the likelihood of either event occurring alone.

The Conjunction Fallacy Is a Tendency to